NFL Confidence Pool Picks Week 10
Updated 11/12/2026, 11:10 PM CT
NFL Week 10 confidence pool picks: put 14 points on JAX (84% to win) and 13 on LA. These picks expect 74.9 points this week.
| Points | Game | Date | Pick | Win chance | Our line | Market line | Our score | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |  JAX @  TEN | 11/15/2026 | JAX | 84% | TEN +19.0 | TEN +10.5 | 33-14 | - |
| 13 |  LA @  ARI | 11/15/2026 | LA | 81% | ARI +12.1 | ARI +9.5 | 26-14 | - |
| 12 |  BUF @  NYJ | 11/15/2026 | BUF | 80% | NYJ +14.2 | NYJ +7.5 | 32-18 | - |
| 11 |  SEA @  LV | 11/15/2026 | SEA | 72% | LV +10.2 | LV +6.5 | 25-15 | - |
| 10 |  HOU @  CLE | 11/15/2026 | HOU | 68% | CLE +5.9 | CLE +4.5 | 23-17 | - |
| 9 |  LAC @  BAL | 11/16/2026 | BAL | 66% | BAL -4.3 | BAL -4.5 | 17-21 | - |
| 8 |  MIA @  IND | 11/15/2026 | IND | 66% | IND -5.2 | IND -3.5 | 16-21 | - |
| 7 |  SF @  DAL | 11/15/2026 | SF | 65% | DAL +5.3 | DAL +4.5 | 30-25 | - |
| 6 |  PIT @  CIN | 11/15/2026 | CIN | 62% | CIN -3.0 | CIN -3.5 | 23-26 | - |
| 5 |  KC @  ATL | 11/15/2026 | KC | 61% | ATL +8.1 | ATL +3.5 | 28-20 | - |
| 4 |  MIN @  GB | 11/15/2026 | GB | 60% | GB -7.3 | GB -3.0 | 18-25 | - |
| 3 |  NE @  DET | 11/15/2026 | DET | 58% | DET -0.3 | DET -2.5 | 25-25 | - |
| 2 |  CAR @  NO | 11/15/2026 | NO | 55% | NO -2.3 | NO -2.5 | 23-25 | - |
| 1 |  WAS @  NYG | 11/12/2026 | NYG | 53% | NYG -8.6 | NYG -1.5 | 16-25 | 24-21 |
Week 10 so far: 0 of 1 right, null of 1 confidence points.
Win chance blends the no-vig moneyline (75%) with the BankrollSZN game simulation (25%). Lines are the home team spread. For entertainment and education only, not financial advice. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How the confidence points are set
Each game gets a pick and a win chance: 75% the no-vig moneyline and 25% the BankrollSZN game simulation. The games are ranked by win chance. The most likely winner gets the most points and the closest game gets 1 point.
Ranking by win chance gives the most expected points. The summary at the top of the page adds up each game's win chance times its points. In a large pool you can move a few close games up or down to separate from the field, but each move costs expected points.
Frequently asked questions
How should I rank my NFL confidence pool picks?
Put the most points on the game with the highest win chance and the fewest on the closest game. The table is already in that order.
How many confidence points do these picks score?
The season line at the top of the table shows the points scored out of the maximum. Each week's line is under the table.
Are these the same picks as the pick'em page?
Yes. The pick in each game is the same. This page adds the ranking and the points.