NFL Pick'em Picks Week 10
Updated 11/12/2026, 11:10 PM CT
NFL Week 10 pick'em picks: the most likely winners are JAX (84%) and LA (81%). The closest game is WAS at NYG, where we pick NYG at 53%.
| Game | Date | Pick | Win chance | Our line | Market line | Our score | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 JAX @  TEN | 11/15/2026 | JAX | 84% | TEN +19.0 | TEN +10.5 | 33-14 | - |
 LA @  ARI | 11/15/2026 | LA | 81% | ARI +12.1 | ARI +9.5 | 26-14 | - |
 BUF @  NYJ | 11/15/2026 | BUF | 80% | NYJ +14.2 | NYJ +7.5 | 32-18 | - |
 SEA @  LV | 11/15/2026 | SEA | 72% | LV +10.2 | LV +6.5 | 25-15 | - |
 HOU @  CLE | 11/15/2026 | HOU | 68% | CLE +5.9 | CLE +4.5 | 23-17 | - |
 LAC @  BAL | 11/16/2026 | BAL | 66% | BAL -4.3 | BAL -4.5 | 17-21 | - |
 MIA @  IND | 11/15/2026 | IND | 66% | IND -5.2 | IND -3.5 | 16-21 | - |
 SF @  DAL | 11/15/2026 | SF | 65% | DAL +5.3 | DAL +4.5 | 30-25 | - |
 PIT @  CIN | 11/15/2026 | CIN | 62% | CIN -3.0 | CIN -3.5 | 23-26 | - |
 KC @  ATL | 11/15/2026 | KC | 61% | ATL +8.1 | ATL +3.5 | 28-20 | - |
 MIN @  GB | 11/15/2026 | GB | 60% | GB -7.3 | GB -3.0 | 18-25 | - |
 NE @  DET | 11/15/2026 | DET | 58% | DET -0.3 | DET -2.5 | 25-25 | - |
 CAR @  NO | 11/15/2026 | NO | 55% | NO -2.3 | NO -2.5 | 23-25 | - |
 WAS @  NYG | 11/12/2026 | NYG | 53% | NYG -8.6 | NYG -1.5 | 16-25 | 24-21 |
Week 10 so far: 0 of 1 right.
Win chance blends the no-vig moneyline (75%) with the BankrollSZN game simulation (25%). Lines are the home team spread. For entertainment and education only, not financial advice. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How these NFL pick'em picks are made
Each game gets a win chance for both teams. The win chance is 75% the no-vig moneyline and 25% the BankrollSZN game simulation. The pick is the team with the higher chance. The page tracks every pick against the final score, so you can see the record for the season.
In a straight up pick'em pool, picking the favorite in every game is hard to beat. The edge in a big pool comes from a few games where the favorite is popular but close to a coin flip. Look for games where the win chance is under 60%.
Frequently asked questions
Who should I pick in my NFL pick'em pool this week?
The table lists the pick for every game and the win chance behind it. Games with a win chance above 75% are the safest. Games under 60% are close to a coin flip.
How accurate are these picks?
The season record at the top of the table counts every graded pick. It updates after each game.
What is the difference from the confidence pool page?
Same picks. The confidence pool page also ranks them and assigns points, highest points to the most likely winner.