WNBA Elo Ratings
2026 season. Last game graded: 10/31/2026. Ratings updated: 11/10/2026, 12:15 PM CT.
Off-season. ATL starts next season with the top preseason rating, 1605. Preseason ratings are last season's final ratings pulled toward 1500.
Display only, not bet signals. There is no closing line test yet, so use it to read team strength and injuries, not to pick sides. For players, see the WNBA Player Index.
Off-season board. The preseason rating is each team's final rating pulled toward 1500. Ratings move again after the first games.
Preseason ratings
| # | Team | Preseason | Final | Record | 7 days | 30 days | Season | Last game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ATL | 1605 | 1709 | 38-18 | 0.0 | +19.2 | +122.7 | 10/31/2026 |
| 2 |  GSV | 1588 | 1675 | 41-16 | 0.0 | -19.2 | +162.6 | 10/31/2026 |
| 3 |  LVA | 1571 | 1641 | 33-18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +57.9 | 10/09/2026 |
| 4 |  MIN | 1540 | 1580 | 33-13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +1.3 | 09/29/2026 |
| 5 |  DAL | 1540 | 1580 | 28-19 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +143.2 | 10/02/2026 |
| 6 |  IND | 1539 | 1577 | 29-18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +33.7 | 10/01/2026 |
| 7 |  NYL | 1538 | 1577 | 29-21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +60.6 | 10/09/2026 |
| 8 |  WAS | 1510 | 1520 | 28-18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +96.0 | 09/30/2026 |
| 9 |  PHX | 1471 | 1442 | 16-28 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -79.7 | 09/24/2026 |
| 10 |  LAS | 1470 | 1440 | 16-28 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -23.3 | 09/24/2026 |
5 more teams on the board
Create a free account to see every WNBA team's Elo rating. No credit card, it takes about 10 seconds.
Ratings center on 1500. Next season is the rating pulled toward 1500 for the next season.
Track record
| Window | Games | Log loss | Brier | Margin miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 days | 7 | 0.7443 | 0.2748 | 11.07 |
| 2026 season | 354 | 0.5842 | 0.2003 | 9.94 |
| 2025 season | 310 | 0.6063 | 0.2099 | 10.52 |
| 2024 season | 241 | 0.5988 | 0.2052 | 8.95 |
| 2023 season | 241 | 0.6085 | 0.2100 | 9.93 |
| 2022 season | 217 | 0.6040 | 0.2092 | 9.48 |
Lower is better. A coin flip has a log loss of 0.6931. Margin miss is the average points between the predicted and the final margin.
How the WNBA Elo ratings work
Every team rating moves after each game by how far the final margin beat what the two ratings expected. The WNBA version is refit on WNBA history back to 2000. With a 40 to 44 game season, ratings move faster than in the NBA, and each off-season pulls a rating halfway back to 1500. Home court is worth 20 rating points.
Missing players count. Each absent rotation player is valued by her recent game score per minute and expected minutes, and that value moves the pregame gap. A team that wins without its star gains more.
In the off-season the board shows the preseason rating, the final rating pulled halfway to 1500. Ratings move again after the first games of the new season.
How accurate it is
On 905 games from 2024 to 2026 the model had a log loss of 0.5957, against 0.6055 without the injury term and 0.6048 with NBA constants. No WNBA closing line history is stored yet, so there is no market test. The page is display only, not a source of bet signals.
Frequently asked questions
What is WNBA Elo?
A rating for every WNBA team that moves after each game by how far the margin beat the expectation. Ratings center on 1500.
What is the preseason rating?
Each team's final rating pulled halfway back to 1500. It is the starting point for the next season.
Do injuries count?
Yes. Out and Doubtful rotation players, and players projected under 3 minutes, take their value off the team's rating for that game. Questionable players count as playing.
Should I bet the Elo favorite?
No. The page is display only. Use it to read team strength and who is missing.