NFL EPA Tiers 2026
Through Week 10, updated 11/13/2026, 5:45 AM CT
Through Week 10 of 2026, the Jacksonville Jaguars lead the NFL in net EPA per play (+0.278), ahead of the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs. The San Francisco 49ers have the best offense (+0.178 EPA per play) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the best defense (-0.163 allowed).
Offense against defense
Right = better offense. Up = better defense. Dashed lines are the league average (0).
| Rank | Team | Tier | Net EPA | Off EPA | Off pass | Off rush | Off success | Def EPA | Def pass | Def rush | Off last 4 | Def last 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | Good offense, good defense | +0.278 | +0.150 | +0.270 | +0.010 | 47.4% | -0.128 | -0.101 | -0.172 | +0.120 | -0.198 |
| 2 |  San Francisco 49ers | Good offense, good defense | +0.253 | +0.178 | +0.303 | +0.018 | 52.8% | -0.075 | -0.008 | -0.187 | +0.075 | -0.176 |
| 3 |  Kansas City Chiefs | Good offense, good defense | +0.205 | +0.133 | +0.161 | +0.093 | 49.0% | -0.072 | -0.017 | -0.156 | +0.088 | -0.090 |
| 4 |  Los Angeles Rams | Good offense, good defense | +0.158 | +0.044 | +0.063 | +0.013 | 48.0% | -0.114 | -0.073 | -0.176 | -0.001 | -0.187 |
| 5 |  Buffalo Bills | Good offense, good defense | +0.155 | +0.145 | +0.263 | +0.003 | 47.8% | -0.010 | +0.028 | -0.081 | +0.097 | -0.141 |
| 6 |  Cincinnati Bengals | Good offense, bad defense | +0.143 | +0.144 | +0.265 | -0.095 | 50.5% | +0.001 | +0.026 | -0.044 | +0.237 | +0.025 |
| 7 |  Green Bay Packers | Good offense, good defense | +0.109 | +0.034 | +0.183 | -0.242 | 40.9% | -0.075 | -0.072 | -0.080 | +0.098 | -0.111 |
| 8 |  Chicago Bears | Good offense, good defense | +0.098 | +0.037 | +0.093 | -0.037 | 47.0% | -0.061 | -0.046 | -0.087 | +0.056 | -0.142 |
| 9 |  Seattle Seahawks | Bad offense, good defense | +0.054 | -0.044 | +0.076 | -0.202 | 40.9% | -0.099 | -0.090 | -0.112 | -0.013 | -0.048 |
| 10 |  Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Bad offense, good defense | +0.054 | -0.109 | -0.196 | -0.012 | 40.7% | -0.163 | -0.165 | -0.158 | -0.135 | -0.291 |
| 11 |  Houston Texans | Good offense, bad defense | +0.051 | +0.058 | +0.176 | -0.144 | 42.8% | +0.007 | +0.059 | -0.076 | +0.146 | -0.026 |
| 12 |  Pittsburgh Steelers | Bad offense, good defense | +0.047 | -0.027 | -0.107 | +0.114 | 42.1% | -0.074 | -0.028 | -0.161 | +0.054 | -0.137 |
| 13 |  New York Giants | Good offense, good defense | +0.043 | +0.012 | +0.091 | -0.100 | 41.0% | -0.031 | +0.006 | -0.088 | +0.052 | -0.102 |
| 14 |  Detroit Lions | Good offense, bad defense | +0.024 | +0.104 | +0.211 | -0.044 | 48.8% | +0.080 | +0.166 | -0.105 | +0.061 | -0.052 |
| 15 |  Carolina Panthers | Good offense, bad defense | +0.018 | +0.048 | +0.090 | -0.036 | 43.0% | +0.030 | +0.073 | -0.032 | -0.025 | +0.036 |
| 16 |  Dallas Cowboys | Good offense, bad defense | +0.006 | +0.097 | +0.159 | -0.009 | 46.5% | +0.091 | +0.170 | -0.020 | +0.063 | -0.025 |
| 17 |  New England Patriots | Good offense, bad defense | -0.004 | +0.041 | +0.149 | -0.123 | 45.5% | +0.045 | +0.146 | -0.110 | +0.039 | +0.102 |
| 18 |  Denver Broncos | Bad offense, good defense | -0.010 | -0.020 | +0.014 | -0.071 | 38.7% | -0.010 | -0.004 | -0.020 | +0.052 | +0.007 |
| 19 |  Minnesota Vikings | Bad offense, good defense | -0.020 | -0.167 | -0.143 | -0.202 | 36.0% | -0.148 | -0.179 | -0.106 | -0.238 | -0.112 |
| 20 |  Baltimore Ravens | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.028 | -0.015 | +0.037 | -0.079 | 44.1% | +0.013 | +0.073 | -0.075 | -0.240 | +0.065 |
| 21 |  New York Jets | Good offense, bad defense | -0.038 | +0.001 | +0.081 | -0.116 | 44.8% | +0.039 | +0.161 | -0.112 | +0.033 | +0.165 |
| 22 |  Washington Commanders | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.057 | -0.025 | +0.033 | -0.127 | 42.5% | +0.032 | +0.077 | -0.050 | -0.038 | +0.021 |
| 23 |  Cleveland Browns | Bad offense, good defense | -0.065 | -0.084 | -0.008 | -0.223 | 41.3% | -0.019 | -0.020 | -0.017 | -0.084 | -0.017 |
| 24 |  Atlanta Falcons | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.081 | -0.080 | -0.146 | +0.000 | 43.1% | +0.001 | +0.045 | -0.065 | -0.154 | +0.050 |
| 25 |  New Orleans Saints | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.093 | -0.037 | +0.019 | -0.140 | 41.9% | +0.055 | +0.107 | -0.020 | -0.071 | -0.038 |
| 26 |  Las Vegas Raiders | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.104 | -0.010 | +0.116 | -0.215 | 42.5% | +0.094 | +0.189 | -0.029 | -0.032 | +0.197 |
| 27 |  Arizona Cardinals | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.111 | -0.036 | -0.023 | -0.058 | 43.3% | +0.075 | +0.256 | -0.141 | -0.057 | +0.015 |
| 28 |  Tennessee Titans | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.167 | -0.096 | -0.104 | -0.083 | 41.4% | +0.071 | +0.174 | -0.072 | -0.101 | +0.077 |
| 29 |  Miami Dolphins | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.178 | -0.064 | -0.017 | -0.127 | 38.7% | +0.114 | +0.261 | -0.060 | +0.005 | +0.130 |
| 30 |  Indianapolis Colts | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.200 | -0.125 | -0.216 | +0.009 | 42.2% | +0.075 | +0.112 | +0.027 | -0.218 | +0.043 |
| 31 |  Philadelphia Eagles | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.233 | -0.149 | -0.141 | -0.162 | 35.5% | +0.084 | +0.147 | +0.000 | -0.173 | +0.099 |
| 32 |  Los Angeles Chargers | Bad offense, bad defense | -0.247 | -0.244 | -0.240 | -0.248 | 35.1% | +0.003 | +0.059 | -0.062 | -0.326 | +0.014 |
What EPA per play measures
EPA is expected points added. Each down, distance and field position has an expected point value. EPA is the change in that value on one play. A 12 yard gain on 3rd and 10 adds more than a 12 yard gain on 1st and 10, because it keeps the drive alive.
Offense EPA per play is the average over every pass and run. Defense EPA per play is the same number for the plays a defense allows, so a lower defense number is better. The tiers chart puts both on one picture: teams in the top right are good on both sides of the ball.
How to use EPA tiers for betting and DFS
EPA per play is more stable from week to week than points scored, so it finds teams whose record is ahead of or behind how they play. Compare two teams' net EPA, then check the game simulation for the spread and total.
For DFS, the pass and rush splits matter most. An offense with a strong pass EPA against a defense with a weak pass EPA allowed points to the quarterback and his receivers. The last 4 games column shows which teams are trending.
Frequently asked questions
What is a good EPA per play in the NFL?
League average is close to zero. An offense above +0.10 EPA per play is top tier. A defense that allows below -0.10 EPA per play is top tier.
Why is a negative defense EPA good?
Defense EPA is the EPA the offense gains against that defense. A negative number means opposing offenses lose expected points, which is what a good defense does.
Where does the data come from?
Every play from the public nflverse play by play data, regular season only, passes and runs. Two point tries are left out. It updates three times a day in season.