MLB Player Index: Player vs System
Off-season: values through the 2026 season. Model updated 11/10/2026, 1:08 PM CT
The top difference maker among hitters is Aaron Judge (NYY), worth +1.72 DK points per 4 PA above an average player on an average team. 79 hitters grade as difference makers and 9 as system products. The biggest step-up when the star sits is Masataka Yoshida (+6.8 DK points per game without Willson Contreras).
For team strength, see the MLB Elo ratings.
Values are DK points per 4 PA (DK points per 4 plate appearances).
Top 15% player value among hitters or among pitchers. The production follows him to any team.
Aaron Judgevalue+1.72
Shohei Ohtanivalue+1.68
Pete Crow-Armstrongvalue+1.58
Juan Sotovalue+1.43
Elly De La Cruzvalue+1.418+ DK points per game over the last 10 (pitchers 14+), but 35% or more of his value comes from the team and the park.
Curtis Mead7.8 DK/g
Chase Meidroth7.2 DK/g
Dylan Crews6.9 DK/g
Endy Rodríguez6.9 DK/g
Xander Bogaerts6.6 DK/gValue above the system is up 0.8+ DK points per 4 PA (pitchers 1.5+ per 25 batters) from last season.
Jac Caglianonetrend+1.94Andrés Chaparrotrend+1.73
Adael Amadortrend+1.69
Ezequiel Durantrend+1.56Tyrone Taylortrend+1.54Strong hitter without a full-time role (under 60% of team games or under 70% starts over the last 10), or a high-value arm stuck in the bullpen.
Cole Carrigg90% startsRamón Laureano90% starts
Jurickson Profar100% startsKonnor Griffin100% starts
Cooper Pratt80% startsValue above the system is down 0.8+ DK points per 4 PA (pitchers 1.5+ per 25 batters) from last season.
Jorge Polancotrend-2.27Austin Wynnstrend-1.97
Anthony Santandertrend-1.92
Tyler Fitzgeraldtrend-1.87
Jacob Stallingstrend-1.76DK points per game in games the team's top hitter missed, minus games he played. 5+ games without.
Masataka Yoshida+6.8 (10g)
Bryson Stott+6.0 (6g)
Griffin Conine+6.0 (5g)Daylen Lile+5.6 (9g)Jordan Westburg+4.6 (6g)
Ketel Marte+4.6 (6g)| Player | Player value | System lift | Expected /4 PA | DK /4 PA | PA/g | Park | Starts L10 | Trend | Archetype |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron JudgeRF NYY | +1.72 | +0.01 | 8.76 | 8.48 | 4.3 | +0.18 | 100% | -1.56 | Difference maker |
| Shohei OhtaniDH LAD | +1.68 | -0.02 | 8.34 | 8.38 | 4.6 | -0.16 | 100% | -1.20 | Difference maker |
| Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF CHC | +1.58 | +0.13 | 8.47 | 9.86 | 4.5 | -0.09 | 100% | +1.22 | Difference maker |
| Juan SotoLF NYM | +1.43 | -0.07 | 8.07 | 8.43 | 4.3 | -0.13 | 100% | -0.72 | Difference maker |
| Elly De La CruzSS CIN | +1.41 | -0.07 | 8.10 | 8.95 | 4.5 | -0.09 | 100% | +0.73 | Difference maker |
| Bobby Witt Jr.SS KC | +1.31 | -0.04 | 8.10 | 8.41 | 4.4 | -0.01 | 100% | -0.25 | Difference maker |
 Yordan AlvarezDH HOU | +1.26 | -0.02 | 8.14 | 9.09 | 4.4 | +0.05 | 100% | +1.59 | Difference maker |
| Fernando Tatis Jr.RF SD | +1.13 | +0.07 | 7.99 | 8.45 | 4.4 | -0.06 | 100% | +0.12 | Difference maker |
 José Ramírez3B CLE | +1.11 | -0.04 | 7.80 | 7.57 | 4.4 | -0.11 | 100% | -1.16 | Difference maker |
| Oneil CruzCF PIT | +1.10 | +0.07 | 7.96 | 9.53 | 4.4 | -0.06 | 100% | +1.33 | Difference maker |
 Byron BuxtonCF MIN | +1.04 | +0.01 | 7.87 | 8.05 | 4.4 | -0.03 | 90% | -1.07 | Difference maker |
 Randy ArozarenaLF SEA | +1.03 | -0.10 | 7.66 | 8.63 | 4.3 | -0.12 | 100% | +1.00 | Difference maker |
| Kyle SchwarberDH PHI | +1.03 | -0.10 | 7.73 | 7.93 | 4.5 | -0.05 | 100% | -0.72 | Difference maker |
| Corbin CarrollRF AZ | +1.02 | -0.06 | 7.88 | 7.90 | 4.3 | +0.08 | 100% | -0.88 | Difference maker |
| CJ AbramsSS WSH | +1.01 | +0.16 | 7.96 | 8.99 | 4.3 | -0.06 | 100% | +0.85 | Difference maker |
| Jackson ChourioLF MIL | +1.01 | +0.09 | 7.89 | 8.66 | 4.5 | -0.06 | 80% | +0.52 | Difference maker |
| Pete Alonso1B BAL | +0.97 | -0.04 | 7.68 | 8.39 | 4.3 | -0.09 | 100% | +0.46 | Difference maker |
 Nick Kurtz1B ATH | +0.95 | -0.12 | 7.81 | 8.15 | 4.4 | +0.14 | 90% | -0.92 | Difference maker |
| James WoodRF WSH | +0.94 | +0.16 | 7.90 | 8.77 | 4.6 | -0.05 | 100% | +0.60 | Difference maker |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B NYY | +0.94 | +0.01 | 7.64 | 8.08 | 3.9 | -0.15 | 100% | -0.46 | Difference maker |
 Junior Caminero3B TB | +0.91 | +0.05 | 7.81 | 8.21 | 4.3 | 0.00 | 100% | -0.04 | Difference maker |
 Zach NetoSS LAA | +0.91 | -0.14 | 7.39 | 7.81 | 4.5 | -0.23 | 100% | -0.19 | Difference maker |
| Rafael DeversDH SF | +0.90 | -0.08 | 7.46 | 8.10 | 4.3 | -0.21 | 100% | +0.38 | Difference maker |
| Ben RiceDH NYY | +0.82 | +0.01 | 7.68 | 8.45 | 4.3 | 0.00 | 100% | +0.78 | Difference maker |
| Ronald Acuña Jr.RF ATL | +0.82 | -0.02 | 7.54 | 8.07 | 4.4 | -0.11 | 100% | -0.38 | Difference maker |
| Brice Turang2B MIL | +0.79 | +0.09 | 7.67 | 8.15 | 4.5 | -0.05 | 100% | +0.21 | Difference maker |
| Jake Bauers1B MIL | +0.77 | +0.09 | 7.66 | 8.48 | 4.0 | -0.05 | 90% | +0.84 | Difference maker |
| Bryce HarperRF PHI | +0.75 | -0.10 | 7.44 | 7.84 | 4.3 | -0.05 | 100% | +0.22 | Difference maker |
| Willson Contreras1B BOS | +0.75 | -0.05 | 7.39 | 8.18 | 4.2 | -0.15 | 100% | +0.61 | Difference maker |
| Sal Stewart1B CIN | +0.70 | -0.07 | 7.39 | 7.85 | 4.3 | -0.09 | 100% | +0.23 | Difference maker |
| Jeremy PeñaSS HOU | +0.70 | -0.02 | 7.63 | 8.10 | 4.4 | +0.10 | 100% | +0.07 | Difference maker |
| Francisco LindorSS NYM | +0.68 | -0.07 | 7.32 | 6.94 | 4.5 | -0.14 | 100% | -0.77 | Difference maker |
| Max Muncy3B LAD | +0.67 | -0.02 | 7.35 | 7.88 | 3.8 | -0.14 | 80% | +0.02 | Difference maker |
| Jackson MerrillCF SD | +0.66 | +0.07 | 7.51 | 7.81 | 4.2 | -0.06 | 100% | +0.57 | Difference maker |
| Miguel Vargas3B CWS | +0.66 | +0.06 | 7.43 | 8.31 | 4.4 | -0.13 | 100% | +1.20 | Difference maker |
 Riley GreeneLF DET | +0.66 | -0.05 | 7.27 | 7.63 | 4.2 | -0.18 | 100% | 0.00 | Difference maker |
| Hunter GoodmanC COL | +0.66 | -0.03 | 7.88 | 8.29 | 4.2 | +0.40 | 100% | +0.27 | Difference maker |
| Seiya SuzukiRF CHC | +0.64 | +0.13 | 7.53 | 7.83 | 4.4 | -0.09 | 100% | +0.24 | Difference maker |
 Alec Burleson1B STL | +0.64 | -0.04 | 7.26 | 7.88 | 4.2 | -0.19 | 80% | +0.62 | Difference maker |
| Matt Olson1B ATL | +0.63 | -0.02 | 7.35 | 7.82 | 4.3 | -0.11 | 100% | +0.23 | Difference maker |
| Julio RodríguezCF SEA | +0.62 | -0.10 | 7.24 | 7.00 | 4.4 | -0.12 | 100% | -0.93 | Difference maker |
| Brandon Lowe2B PIT | +0.62 | +0.07 | 7.47 | 7.87 | 4.4 | -0.08 | 100% | +0.24 | Difference maker |
| Cal RaleighC SEA | +0.62 | -0.10 | 7.24 | 6.29 | 4.2 | -0.12 | 100% | -2.34 | Difference maker |
| Jordan WalkerRF STL | +0.60 | -0.04 | 7.21 | 8.26 | 4.2 | -0.20 | 100% | +1.95 | Difference maker |
| Jake McCarthyLF COL | +0.59 | -0.03 | 7.80 | 8.47 | 4.2 | +0.39 | 100% | +1.70 | Difference maker |
| Andy PagesCF LAD | +0.58 | -0.02 | 7.53 | 8.01 | 4.3 | +0.12 | 100% | +0.45 | Difference maker |
| Gabriel MorenoC AZ | +0.56 | -0.06 | 7.50 | 8.01 | 4.2 | +0.15 | 100% | +0.66 | Difference maker |
| Luis García Jr.1B NYY | +0.56 | +0.01 | 7.41 | 8.20 | 3.7 | -0.01 | 100% | +0.81 | Difference maker |
| Wyatt LangfordLF TEX | +0.56 | -0.04 | 7.07 | 7.41 | 4.3 | -0.30 | 100% | -0.11 | Difference maker |
| George SpringerDH TOR | +0.55 | -0.14 | 7.09 | 6.89 | 4.2 | -0.16 | 90% | -1.63 | Difference maker |
| Munetaka Murakami1B CWS | +0.53 | +0.06 | 7.29 | 7.83 | 4.3 | -0.14 | 100% | - | Difference maker |
| Ketel Marte2B AZ | +0.52 | -0.06 | 7.39 | 7.02 | 4.4 | +0.08 | 100% | -0.70 | Difference maker |
| Eugenio SuárezDH CIN | +0.52 | -0.07 | 7.21 | 6.98 | 4.0 | -0.09 | 100% | -0.85 | Difference maker |
| Cody BellingerLF NYY | +0.51 | +0.01 | 7.35 | 7.45 | 4.3 | -0.01 | 100% | -0.29 | Difference maker |
| José Caballero3B NYY | +0.51 | +0.01 | 7.36 | 7.42 | 3.6 | -0.01 | 90% | -0.68 | Difference maker |
| Carson BengeRF NYM | +0.51 | -0.07 | 7.14 | 7.53 | 4.2 | -0.14 | 100% | - | Difference maker |
| Dominic CanzoneRF SEA | +0.50 | -0.10 | 7.12 | 7.54 | 3.6 | -0.13 | 100% | +0.31 | Difference maker |
| Kyle TuckerRF LAD | +0.50 | -0.02 | 7.17 | 6.96 | 4.1 | -0.16 | 90% | -1.04 | Difference maker |
| Drake BaldwinDH ATL | +0.50 | -0.02 | 7.22 | 7.52 | 4.5 | -0.11 | 100% | -0.09 | Difference maker |
| Otto LopezSS MIA | +0.48 | +0.03 | 7.20 | 7.90 | 4.4 | -0.16 | 100% | +0.95 | Difference maker |
Which teams lift their players
DK points per 4 PA each team adds for every player, 2026.
WSH+0.16CHC+0.13MIL+0.09SD+0.07PIT+0.07CWS+0.06TOR-0.14LAA-0.14ATH-0.12SEA-0.10PHI-0.10Which parks help hitters
DK points per 4 PA each park adds, after player, team and opponent.
Regular season games since 2023, recent seasons weighted more. Model v1.1.
What the MLB Player Index measures
A hitter's DraftKings points come from the hitter, his lineup and team, the pitchers he faces and his home park. The Player Index splits them. Hitters are rated in DK points per 4 plate appearances. Pitchers are rated in DK points per 25 batters faced, with starters and relievers in one fit.
Player value is the production above an average player on an average team in an average park. System lift is what his team adds. The park effect is a separate block, so Coors Field does not inflate a Rockies hitter's own value. The model uses every regular season game since 2023, recent seasons weighted more.
Difference makers, system products and blocked players
A difference maker produces in any lineup and any park. A system product puts up big DK games because of the team and park around him. For hitters the team part is small. The park matters more: Coors Field adds about 0.67 DK points per 4 plate appearances, the most of any park.
Blocked by teammates marks strong hitters without a full-time role, and high-value arms stuck in the bullpen. Those are the players who gain the most from a trade, an injury or a move to the rotation.
How accurate the model is
We tested the model on the 2024, 2025 and 2026 seasons without letting it see the season it graded. For pitchers it predicted season DK points per 25 batters faced with an average error of 3.54, against 3.65 for last season's rate pulled toward the league average. For hitters the gain is small: 0.849 against 0.856 per 4 plate appearances. The team block helps most for players who changed teams.
It is the off-season, so the values run through the 2026 season. The index updates daily again once games start.
Frequently asked questions
What is a system product in baseball?
A player who gets 35% or more of his value from his team and park and scores 8 or more DK points per game over his last 10 games (pitchers 14 or more).
Why are hitters per 4 plate appearances?
A hitter gets about 4 plate appearances a game. Per 4 PA puts leadoff hitters and bottom of the order bats on the same scale. Pitchers use 25 batters faced, about one start.
Does the index include park factors?
Yes. Each park gets its own effect for hitters and for pitchers, so a player's own value is not inflated or held down by his home park. The page lists the parks that help and hurt the most.
Does the index predict tonight's points?
No. It is a ranking built from full seasons. Use the MLB projections for a slate.
Is this tool free?
Yes. The full page is free with no account.