UFC Line Movement
DraftKings moneyline and total rounds for every fight on the next card, FanDuel when DraftKings has no line · Oct 24
Every fight on the next UFC card with the opening moneyline, no-vig win probability and total rounds line next to the live price. The board covers the whole fight week, so you can see how each line moved since it opened.
| Fight | Fighter | Win Prob (no vig) | Total Rounds | Moneyline | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | Live | Diff | Open | Live | Diff | Open | Live | Diff | ||
 vs Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston Sat 11:00 AM CT | Abus Magomedov | 48.9% | 53.2% | +4.3% | 1.5 o -200 | 1.5 o -180 | -- | -105 | -125 | -20 +4.3% |
| Cam Rowston | 51.1% | 46.8% | -4.3% | 1.5 o -200 | 1.5 o -180 | -- | -115 | +105 | +20 -4.7% | |
 vs Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita Sat 1:00 PM CT | Aaron Pico | 48.9% | 53.2% | +4.3% | 1.5 o -154 | 1.5 o -180 | -- | -105 | -125 | -20 +4.3% |
| Losene Keita | 51.1% | 46.8% | -4.3% | 1.5 o -154 | 1.5 o -180 | -- | -115 | +105 | +20 -4.7% | |
 vs Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun Sat 9:00 AM CT | Abubakar Vagaev | 62.2% | 59.3% | -2.9% | 2.5 o -330 | 2.5 o -345 | -- | -185 | -162 | +23 -3.1% |
| Jacob Malkoun | 37.8% | 40.7% | +2.9% | 2.5 o -330 | 2.5 o -345 | -- | +154 | +136 | -18 +3.0% | |
 vs Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Sat 1:00 PM CT | Petr Yan | 62.2% | 59.3% | -2.9% | 4.5 o -410 | 4.5 o -345 | -- | -185 | -162 | +23 -3.1% |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 37.8% | 40.7% | +2.9% | 4.5 o -410 | 4.5 o -345 | -- | +154 | +136 | -18 +3.0% | |
 vs Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari Sat 9:00 AM CT | Iasmin Lucindo | 75.7% | 77.7% | +2.0% | 2.5 o -280 | 2.5 o -280 | -- | -375 | -425 | -50 +2.0% |
| Nicolle Caliari | 24.3% | 22.3% | -2.0% | 2.5 o -280 | 2.5 o -280 | -- | +295 | +330 | +35 -2.1% | |
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UFC line movement for the next card
This page tracks UFC line movement for every fight on the next card. For each fight you get both fighters' moneylines, each fighter's win probability with the vig removed, and the total rounds line with its over price. The open, the live number and the difference sit side by side. The fights with the biggest win probability or total rounds move are at the top.
The data is the DraftKings line, and FanDuel when DraftKings has no line for that fight. Prices are checked about every 20 minutes. The open is the first price we captured for the fight. A fight week trend usually covers several days, so click a fight to see every change.
Why UFC lines move so much
UFC markets are thin next to the NFL or MLB, so a few large bets can move a price a long way. Large moves inside fight week are normal. Win probability shows the real size of the move, because cents get large at short prices.
News moves lines too. A short-notice opponent, a weight cut problem or a reported injury can move a fight several points of win probability in an hour. Weigh-ins on the day before the card are the last big news point. Check the late changes page before you read a move as sharp money.
Total rounds moves
The total rounds line is usually 1.5 or 2.5 for three-round fights and 4.5 for five-round main events. Books often keep the line and move the price. A shorter over price means the market expects the fight to go longer. Compare the over price at the open with the live price under the total column.
Frequently asked questions
Where does the UFC line movement data come from?
DraftKings moneylines and total rounds lines, and FanDuel when DraftKings has no line for a fight. Prices are checked about every 20 minutes.
What is no-vig win probability?
Each fighter's chance to win from the two moneylines after the book's margin is removed. The two numbers add up to 100%.
Why do UFC lines move more than other sports?
Fight markets take far less money, so a few large bets move the price. Short-notice changes and weigh-in news move them too.
When is the best time to bet a UFC fight?
Early if you expect money to come in on your fighter, late if you expect it to go the other way. The trend chart shows how each fight moved in past days.
Is the UFC line movement tracker free?
Yes. Five fights show without an account, and a free account opens the full card.