NFL Line Movement

NFL line movement this week

This page tracks NFL line movement for every game in the coming week. For each game you get the spread, the total, the moneyline and each team's implied points, with the open, the live number and the difference. Games with the largest spread, total or team total move sit at the top.

The data is the FanDuel line. It is captured several times an hour from morning to evening. The open is the first FanDuel number we captured in the five days before the week's first kickoff. That is the advance line posted over the weekend before, not an August lookahead line. Captures stop at kickoff, so the live number on a finished game is its closing line.

Key numbers make NFL spread moves uneven

NFL games end on a margin of 3 and 7 far more often than any other number, because scores come from field goals and touchdowns. A spread that moves from 2.5 to 3.5 crosses the most common margin in the sport. A move from 4.5 to 5.5 crosses very little. Read a spread move by the numbers it crosses, not only by its size.

Totals have key numbers too, but they matter less than 3 and 7 on the spread. A total that drops two points in midweek usually follows weather or an injury to a quarterback or a key receiver.

Injuries, weather and sharp money

Most big NFL moves come from the injury report. A starting quarterback ruled out can move a spread by a full touchdown. Strong wind moves totals down, because it cuts the passing game and field goal range. Check the weather and injury pages next to this one before you read a move as sharp money.

A move that comes with no news is the one to study. If the spread moves toward the less popular side with no injury or weather change, a smaller number of larger bets most likely pushed it.

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